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(no subject)
Mar. 2nd, 2009 05:22 pmвдруг подумал, что псих-влияние кризиса имеет смысл рассматривать не в терминах неизлечимой болезни (Denial-Anger-Bargaining-Depression-Acceptance), a в терминах реакции на стресс (Fight-Flight-Tend-Befriend).
скажем, Горчев предлагает уехать в деревню; Маша - бороться с нелегальной иммиграцией; Обама - увеличением гос помощи; социальные сети - взаимопомощью (http://www.timebanks.org/)
тогда, перевод хайку - это что?
update 3/3/9: might be related to the ratchet effect as mentioned here.
скажем, Горчев предлагает уехать в деревню; Маша - бороться с нелегальной иммиграцией; Обама - увеличением гос помощи; социальные сети - взаимопомощью (http://www.timebanks.org/)
тогда, перевод хайку - это что?
update 3/3/9: might be related to the ratchet effect as mentioned here.
why politics make people stupid
Feb. 25th, 2009 11:54 pm...citizens' interpretations of events are slanted toward their previously held convictions. Evidence for this phenomenon is drawn from a variety of sources. In Lord et al's classic experiment (1979), opponents of the death penalty were more likely to find fault with a study suggesting that it deters serious crime; death penalty supporters were similarly resistant to a study that drew the opposite conclusion. In fact, exposure to discordant evidence only made people more set in their ways.
Alan Gerber and Donald Green. MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTUAL BIAS. Annual Review of Political Science, Vol. 2: 189-210 (Volume publication date June 1999) (doi:10.1146/annurev.polisci.2.1.189)
facts that do not conform to one's views make her more certain in her beliefs. extremely strong evidence or external influence is required to overcome a perceptual bias.
http://rioken.livejournal.com/54668.html
(no subject)
Jan. 12th, 2009 08:29 pmВдогонку графикам: http://watertank.livejournal.com/1148110.html
Интересно получается. Самый серьезный кризис последнего времени разразился в условиях, когда, благодаря интернету и закону Мора (The Moore's Law), у всех есть, во-первых, доступ к практически любой экономической информации и, во-вторых, лучшие в мировой истории возможности брабaтывать эту информацию.
Похоже, что жизнь опровергает теорию эффективного рынка ( the efficient market hypothesis)
Интересно получается. Самый серьезный кризис последнего времени разразился в условиях, когда, благодаря интернету и закону Мора (The Moore's Law), у всех есть, во-первых, доступ к практически любой экономической информации и, во-вторых, лучшие в мировой истории возможности брабaтывать эту информацию.
Похоже, что жизнь опровергает теорию эффективного рынка ( the efficient market hypothesis)
(no subject)
Jan. 12th, 2009 05:56 pmThe Recession in Perspective, by the Minneapolis Fed ( via marginalrevolution.com)
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications_papers/studies/recession_perspective/index.cfm
sure looks like the worst recession during my years in the us.
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications_papers/studies/recession_perspective/index.cfm
sure looks like the worst recession during my years in the us.
wisdom of crowds
Dec. 9th, 2008 07:53 pmУдивительным образом ажиотаж вокруг записей в жж "Когда нефть подешеевет" совпал с пиком цены на нефть.
Теперь, каждый день я с надеждой смотрю в Топ Яндекса, чтобы увидеть там статью "Почему мировая экономическая депрессия никогда не кончится."
Скорей бы.
Теперь, каждый день я с надеждой смотрю в Топ Яндекса, чтобы увидеть там статью "Почему мировая экономическая депрессия никогда не кончится."
Скорей бы.
(no subject)
Jun. 11th, 2008 05:32 pm* from goods and services economy to information/network economy
* from scarcity economics to abundance economics
* abundance of information means stiff competition and fast (re-)productive cycles (see http://watertank.livejournal.com/1031039.html )
* fast information means heavier emotional components
* abundance of information - > scarcity of attention ( twitter ) ( more information and/or more channels)
* fast, emotional response to content
* system 1 vs system 2
* сиськи!
* modern art as e-coli
* "feels right" interpersonal justice
* so what?
- emotional interfaces and control signals ( telegraph content in 10 seconds, e.g. foul graphic emotional language)
- attention routing
- conflicts with workplace rules ( procedural justice )
- possible advantage: mid-term rational thinking
* from scarcity economics to abundance economics
* abundance of information means stiff competition and fast (re-)productive cycles (see http://watertank.livejournal.com/1031039.html )
* fast information means heavier emotional components
* abundance of information - > scarcity of attention ( twitter ) ( more information and/or more channels)
* fast, emotional response to content
* system 1 vs system 2
* сиськи!
* modern art as e-coli
* "feels right" interpersonal justice
* so what?
- emotional interfaces and control signals ( telegraph content in 10 seconds, e.g. foul graphic emotional language)
- attention routing
- conflicts with workplace rules ( procedural justice )
- possible advantage: mid-term rational thinking
Человечество тупеет
Jun. 3rd, 2008 12:24 pmЕще пару веков назад большинство людей умирало задолго до того (fig 1), как их физические и умственные способности начинали резко падать ( fig 2). За счет естественного и социального отбора, старики, которые доживали до 40-50-60 лет, отличались умом и/или сложением. Давид, Одисей, Лев Толстой. Теперь доживают все. В коллективной голове человечества накапливается огромное количество устаревшей информации. Учиться новому становится все труднее, потому что, с одной стороны, объем знаний растет, а с другой - способность его перерабатывать собственными мозгами ухудшается (fig 2.)
Что делать?
Fig. 1.
Fig 2.
Что делать?
Fig. 1.
Fig 2.
(no subject)
Jul. 23rd, 2007 01:11 pmDemocratic-Leaning Companies
UBS: 72.7 percent to Democrats
Citigroup: 66.6 percent to Democrats
Goldman Sachs: 63.4 percent to Democrats
Lehman Brothers: 63 percent to Democrats
Morgan Stanley: 54 percent to Democrats
Republican-Leaning Companies
Bear Sterns: 87.6 percent to Republicans
Merrill Lynch: 66.7 percent to Republicans
Deutsche Bank: 62.2 percent to Republicans
Credit Suisse: 57.5 percent to Republicans
The 10th company — Bank of America — was statistically bipartisan, with 50.2 percent of employees donating to the leading Democrats.
http://abcnews.go.com/Business/MarketTalk/Story?id=3399837
It would be interesting to correlate the numbers with company or stock performance.
(no subject)
Jul. 5th, 2007 09:39 aminfrastructure ( distribution ) virtualization: from 1:1 to m:n ( scale per delivery channel)
examples? telegraph; currier - post office; telephone; roads(?) - rings, subway; southwest airlines; airlines vs railroads; VOIP
examples? telegraph; currier - post office; telephone; roads(?) - rings, subway; southwest airlines; airlines vs railroads; VOIP
(no subject)
May. 13th, 2007 02:39 pmCurrently, the main activity of an average american is media consumption - about 6hrs a day.
http://www.bsu.edu/cmd/media/pdf/a-day-in-the-life.pdf
via UCB IDS 110, Fall 2006, 11/1 "Life in the Media Cave".
http://www.bsu.edu/cmd/media/pdf/a-day-in-the-life.pdf
via UCB IDS 110, Fall 2006, 11/1 "Life in the Media Cave".
(no subject)
Apr. 1st, 2007 01:03 pmit would be interesting to determine what trend means in terms of the theory. then figure out how to detect, ride, or even create one. what would be a trendable technology. in this context technology has a wider interpretation, similar to the one used in Douglas production function y=f(N,K,A)=A*Kx*N1-x.
For example, a new religion can be considered a new technology that starts a certain trend that changes the world. A new concept of happiness, e.g. introduced by Socrates/Plato and later extended by Aristotle, would fit this definition as well.
Is it possible that trendable is equivalent to scalable, or it has greater system-level implications?
For example, a new religion can be considered a new technology that starts a certain trend that changes the world. A new concept of happiness, e.g. introduced by Socrates/Plato and later extended by Aristotle, would fit this definition as well.
Is it possible that trendable is equivalent to scalable, or it has greater system-level implications?
Collective and concious
Feb. 1st, 2007 03:31 pmBritish publisher Penguin Books may have the answer--a Web-based, collaborative novel that can be written, edited or read by anyone anywhere thanks to "wiki" software, the technology behind Web encyclopedia Wikipedia.
The novel, A Million Penguins, went live on Thursday and its first lines are already being written, edited and rewritten by enthusiasts on www.amillionpenguins.com.
Penguin, which embarked on the project with a group of creative writing and new media students, says it is using the novel as a test of whether a group of disparate and diverse people can create a "believable fictional voice."
http://news.com.com/U.K.+publisher+launches+its+first+wiki+novel/2100-1026_3-6155433.html?tag=nefd.top
